Construction Market Industry Trends

Glenigan IndexWith Glenigan you can track construction industry trends across 12 regions and 11 sectors, helping you win new contracts and stay ahead of the competition. Our analysis is based upon robust data-driven models, not opinion. Use Glenigan to help you find opportunities in new regions and sectors.

Below is a snapshot of the trends you can monitor with Glenigan. This data is updated every month to ensure you make the right strategic decisions to keep your business heading in the right direction.

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Prospects mixed as reduced Government funding bites

The Glenigan Index for August was 6% down on a year ago. A much diminished flow of government funding, particularly for education and social housing projects, reduced the overall level of construction starts in the three months to August. In addition the growth in private housing starts has stalled and positive growth from other parts of the private sector has been in insufficient to make up for the lack of publicly funded project starts.

Chart 1: Glenigan Index Against this weak national picture, there are few bright spots across the different regions. The East Midlands was the highest performing region, the only to experience double figure growth. The East and North West of England saw the largest falls in the value of project starts over the last three months.

Nationally, the country has seen a slight downturn in private housing projects starts over the three months to August. This follows just under a year of sustained growth. In addition, the value of underlying new social housing projects has again fallen sharply, being 30% down on a year ago in the three months to August. The shrinking pool of new work comes as the increases in government funding for projects during the last financial year are reversed, and a recovery is not expected within the next two years. This has left the Residential Index for August 14% down on a year ago. Whilst social housing starts are likely to remain under pressure over the coming months, a return to growth in private housing starts is anticipated at the end of the year as housebuilders capitalise on gradually improving market conditions and last winter’s poor flow of new work is bettered.

The Non-Residential Index for August is 9% down on a year ago. The underlying value of retail starts has been growing over the last six months, fuelled by increased construction activity by the major supermarkets chains. Hotel & leisure and industrial project starts have also increased, however office starts have continued to fall. Additionally, while community & amenity, health and education have suffered amid reductions in government, community & amenity and health projects managed marginal increases over the three months to August. In contrast, education project starts are becoming increasingly scarce following the demise of the Building Schools for the future programme.

The Civil Engineering Index for August was 22% up on a year ago and this area has been an important source of new work over the past three months. The growth rate was bolstered by a particularly high level of project starts in June for both infrastructure and utility projects. Spending on rail projects has been a key to the growth in the underlying value of project starts over the last five months.

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